Oklahoma vs Florida State 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oklahoma winning 51% of simulations, and Florida State 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oklahoma commits fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Florida State wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Landry Jones is averaging 305 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Chris Thompson is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST +3.5

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